Palmeiras eye Vitória, 90% win rate vs bottom four in Brasileiro | OneFootball

Palmeiras heads into the clash against Vitória buoyed by an impressive record against teams fighting at the bottom of the table. Abel Ferreira’s team has made these encounters one of the pillars of their campaign, turning matches against the relegation zone into a constant source of points and stability throughout the Brazilian league.

Looking at the full picture, their dominance becomes clear. Every time they faced the current bottom four teams, Verdão practically took all the points at stake.

There were consecutive victories against Juventude, Fortaleza, and Sport, with only a single slip-up—precisely in the meeting with Vitória in the first round, when the team from Bahia managed to snatch a draw.

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This consistent performance helps explain Palmeiras’ position at the top of the standings, but the current context adds a layer of pressure. The defeat to Santos, combined with Flamengo’s positive result against Sport, cost Palmeiras the lead and opened a gap that the Rio de Janeiro rival was quick to exploit.

The gap has widened, and the mathematical projections for the title race reflect the change: Palmeiras’ probability of becoming champions, once comfortable, has dropped to less than half. In this scenario, the clash at Allianz Parque takes on even greater significance.

Even though they no longer depend solely on themselves to lift the trophy, Palmeiras clings to their dominant record against teams threatened by relegation to keep their chase alive. Confidence in their history, combined with the home advantage, fuels the expectation for another three points and the chance to keep the pressure on the leader in the final stretch.

This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇧🇷 here.