Premier League tips: MD27 best bets involving Man City, Aston Villa and Brighton | OneFootball

English Premier League Tips

Mark has found three plays for MD27 in the Premier League

Mark O'Haire's latest betting Notebook pinpoints three punting angles from the Betfair Exchange to follow across MD27 of the Premier League including Man City v Newcastle on Saturday...

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Brentford v Brighton: Bees to rack up the corners

Brentford v BrightonSaturday 22 February, 15:00

Brentford are the Premier League's big overachievers compared to pre-season predictions. The Bees were expected to be involved in a basement battle following the departure of Thomas Frank and a collection of key playing personnel, yet Keith Andrews' physical and direct outfit are continually upsetting the odds.

Brentford's set-piece strength has been well documented with the Bees' appearing exceptionally dangerous from throw-ins, free-kicks and corners. And the capital club have proven very capable at collecting high corner counts; Brentford are avergaing 4.92 corners per-game, forcing 5+ flag-kicks in seven of their last 12 home tussles.

Brighton arrive at the Gtech Stadium with a solitary league success since the start of December. The Seagulls have lost their attacking swagger and still seem unable to keep their sheets clean; Fabian Hurzeler's group are short on confidence and look very vulnerable here, though I prefer to oppose Albion in the corner markets.

Brighton have conceded five corners or more in five of their last six away EPL encounters, facing 4.62 corners across the campaign. With Brentford in confident mood, a similar haul should be expected on Saturday and Brentford to win the Race to 5 Corners at 1/1 stands-out.

Aston Villa v Leeds: Entertainment expected

Aston Villa v LeedsSaturday 22 February, 15:00

Since the start of December, only Man City (1) and Man Utd (1) have lost fewer Premier League games than Leeds (W4-D7-L2) with the Whites earning eye-catching points from trips to Chelsea, Sunderland, Brentford, Liverpool and Everton in that same sample. Daniel Farke's team have shown plenty of intent and will fancy their chances here.

Leeds head to Villa Park having scored in 18 of their past 22 EPL outings since mid-September, obliging in seven of their past eight away days. However, the Yorkshire giants have also kept their sheets clean just twice since August and that's led to a glut of high-scoring contests with 17 of their past 22 top-flight tussles delivering BTTS 1.83.

A repeat appeals on Saturday afternoon. Leeds' last 12 league dates have delivered over 3 xG per-game with Aston Villa's figures coming in at a healthy 2.84 xG per-game. Unai Emery's outfit have notched themselves in 18 of their past 22 and come into this contest fresh following a rare midweek off domestic or continental duty.

Manchester City v Newcastle: Oppose weary Magpies

Manchester City v NewcastleSaturday 22 February, 20:00Live on TNT Sports

Newcastle produced a thrilling performance to demolish Qarabag in midweek but the Magpies may struggle to replicate that Champions League effort when they return to action on Saturday night. The quick turnaround is an undoubted hinderance to Eddie Howe's outfit ahead of a devilishly-difficult away day at Manchester City.

The Tyneside club have tended to toil against Man City - beaten in both recent League Cup semi-final contests, Newcastle have also lost each of their past six trips to The Etihad without scoring. The weary Magpies travel without injured Bruno Guimaraes and have tabled a solitary clean sheet across their past 16 away games in all competitions.

Man City to win and Under 4.5 Goals pays 1/1 and has provided profit in 16 of the Citizen's past 20 home outings.