Saturday Football Cheat Sheet: Best bets for Premier League matchday 28, EFL, more | OneFootball

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Premier League football tips and predictions

12:30 - Bournemouth v Sunderland: Back goals

Mark Stinchcombe: Is Sunderland's season petering out or are they putting all their eggs in the FA Cup basket? It's now three Premier League defeats in-a-row, although two of them were versus Arsenal and Liverpool. It's too early to suggest then that tools are being downed by the Black Cats and they still remain a healthy 11 points clear of the drop, coincidentally level on points with rivals Newcastle.

Bournemouth's mid-season blip seems well and truly over after an unbeaten seven game run so it's perhaps no surprise they are odds-on favourites here. I think it will be more competitive than the odds suggest so the best route here is to back goals. Fifteen of Bournemouth's last 23 games have seen Over 2.5 goals and it's now six of the last seven for Sunderland. The reverse fixture finished 3-2 and I'm hoping for more of the same.

15:00 - Liverpool v West Ham: Back 18/1 shot

The Opta Stat:

Fifty-nine per cent of West Ham's Premier League goals this season have come in the first half, the highest share in the division (19/32). Meanwhile, Liverpool have scored the lowest share of their goals in the opening 45 minutes this term (31% - 13/42).

Liverpool's Premier League games have seen more goals scored in the 90th minute (including stoppage time) than any other side this season (13 - F7 A6). Nine of these goals have altered the result of the match, with the Reds scoring three winners (D2 L4).

15:00 - Newcastle v Everton: Alan Shearer's prediction

Alan Shearer: Everton are having a tough time at home and are probably more suited to playing away right now, particularly with the way David Moyes will set them up. But if you look at Newcastle's form and the belief, they've got at St James' Park, I'm backing a Newcastle home win.

A point separating them sums up the league. Everton can't win at home, yet they're in a really decent league position. It would be a different story if Everton had a centre forward, someone who could put goals in the back of the net.

I still think Newcastle might just edge this one because of the belief in Europe this week. There are two home games coming up for Newcastle and realistically if they want European football next season they need to win both, other than winning the Champions League or FA Cup, these are two huge games for them.

Kevin Hatchard: Although people will look at Arsenal's comfortable 4-0 win at Elland Road and think this could go a similar way, I believe Leeds can cause an inconsistent City plenty of problems. Daniel Farke's side have only lost three home games in the league all season, they have only failed to score twice at Elland Road, and their overall record since the start of December is excellent.

Pep Guardiola's City have won just two of their last six away games in all competitions, and I just can't get on board with backing them to win at 1.64 on the Betfair Exchange.

You could lay that price, but I'll be a bit more circumspect and will back Leeds +1.0 on the Asian Handicap at 1.9. We only lose money if Leeds lose by two goals or more, and we get a full payout at nearly evens if Leeds win or draw.

EFL tips and predictions

15:00 Championship - Charlton v Wrexham: Back goals for visitors

Jack Critchley: Charlton picked up back-to-back draws against Southampton and WBA in the last seven days. The Addicks barely threatened going forward, yet they managed to take their chances and are slowly inching towards safety, one step at a time. As you'd expect from a Nathan Jones side, the players gave 100% and they are likely to battle their way through this contest on Saturday afternoon.

Unfortunately for the hosts, Lloyd Jones left the field after 35 minutes and that is a seismic blow for the Londoners. The defender has been one of the standout performers this season, bringing a sense of calm and organisation to the backline. He's featured in every league game this season and has been integral to the hosts keeping so many clean sheets.

Wrexham's march up the table continued in midweek with a narrow victory over Portsmouth. Phil Parkinson's side are a little short in the centre of the park with Ben Sheaf out for the season and Matty James absent for the next few weeks. Nevertheless, they have ample firepower and that may be enough to mask their lack of control at the base of midfield.

Alan Dudman: My Luton formula of late is simple - back home and oppose away. Port Vale are bottom but Jon Brady has them scrapping, and Jake Wilshire has failed to win over the Luton massive.

Vale were 1-0 winners against Northampton on Saturday, and a game for stats fans of low quality games. Just 177 completed passes from the Valiants with two shots on target against Northampton's zero. Both were below 1.00 on the xG with Vale getting a 0.39.

This won't be pretty and Luton have lost their six on the road.

European football tips and predictions

17:30 Bundesliga - Dortmund v Bayern: Der Klassiker tip

Kevin Hatchard: The fixture that German football calls Der Klassiker remains an important part of the calendar, and this season it will have a direct bearing on the title race. Bayern have an eight-point advantage over second-placed Dortmund, so this is a game that BVB simply have to win...

Dortmund's only league defeat this term was at Bayern, a game that saw them completely outplayed until the closing stages of a 2-1 loss. Indeed, our friends at Opta tell us that Dortmund are on the league's longest current unbeaten run, having not lost any of their last 11 top-flight matches.

While I believe Bayern are the better side by a distance, I can't be backing them to win here at 1.67. However, I will go for Michael Olise to score at 7/4. While the French international is known for his league-leading assist total, he also nets in key games. The ex-Crystal Palace winger scored in the reverse fixture, and he scored in the 5-1 win at RB Leipzig. Olise has netted 13 goals in all competitions this term.