OneFootball
·5 Februari 2026
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·5 Februari 2026
There is a crisis atmosphere on the Weser. The Green-Whites have gone ten games without a win, and after the draw against Borussia Mönchengladbach, Horst Steffen had to go.
While Werder Bremen managed to pick up only one point, Mainz surprisingly defeated RB Leipzig and shook up the relegation battle once again. But who would have to be relegated at the moment? The supercomputer from data provider 'Opta' has simulated the remaining matches and calculated who will be relegated and who can save themselves.

There is an 82.1 percent chance the club will be directly relegated. There is a 9.3 percent chance Heidenheim will make it to the relegation playoff.
The Kiezkicker have a 67.7 percent chance of being directly relegated. There is a 15.1 percent chance St. Pauli will reach the relegation playoff.
The Wolves have a 14.3 percent chance of being directly relegated. There is a 17.9 percent chance VfL will have to go to the relegation playoff.
HSV has a 10.2 percent chance of being directly relegated again. There is a 14.7 percent chance Hamburg will have to go to the relegation playoff.
The Nullfünfer have a 7.9 percent chance of being directly relegated. There is an 11.9 percent chance they will have to go to the relegation playoff.
The Green-Whites have a 7.9 percent chance of being directly relegated. There is an 11.9 percent chance they will have to go to the relegation playoff.
The Foals have a 3.9 percent chance of being directly relegated. There is a 7.5 percent chance they will have to go to the relegation playoff.
So in Bremen, the coaching effect could actually have an impact, and the chances of staying in the league are not bad. As things stand, Heidenheim and St. Pauli would have to go down to the 2nd division, while Wolfsburg would most likely have to take the detour through the relegation playoff.
What do you think: Who will be relegated and who can save themselves? Let us know in the comments.
This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇩🇪 here.
📸 Stuart Franklin - 2026 Getty Images
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