Arsenal v Everton: Try 50/1 shock at nervy Emirates | OneFootball

Gunners feeling the grind of quadruple chase

Perhaps the Premier League is just too physical and too relentless these days to expect any team just to sail through the whole season.

Liverpool dropped off in the second half of their title-winning campaign in 2024/25 and Arsenal are huffing and puffing much more than they did in the first half of this one.

To their credit, the Gunners keep grinding out results as they try and fight on four fronts and haven't lost a game since the 3-2 defeat to Manchester United at the end of January.

But they've been a bit of a grim watch in recent matches despite the bottom line of three wins by a single-goal margin - v Chelsea, Brighton and Mansfield - and a 1-1 draw with Bayer Leverkusen in the Champions League. In truth, they could easily have lost the latter.

Again, for balance, Mikel Arteta's men have played five of their last six matches on the road so it's been a tough schedule.

Everton dangerous on the road

Rather than yet another season battling to keep their Premier League status - something they always manage - this time Everton are thinking of Europe.

They ended last weekend in eighth place and just a point behind Brentford in seventh. Under David Moyes, the Toffees look far more assured.

Despite getting a shiny, new stadium, Everton's biggest improvements have come on their travels. They've racked up seven away wins this term - only Arsenal (nine) have more - and they've taken 13 points out of 15 from their last five road trips.

In other words, that makes them dangerous opponents for an Arsenal side now struggling to go through the gears.

Arsenal red-hot favourites but Toffees could shock

Arsenal are 4/11 to bank three more points and take a 10-point lead at the top before Manchester City (who have a game in hand) visit West Ham later in the day. The Draw is 15/4 while Everton are 17/2.

First thought: could Everton win this?

Looking at the Toffees' seven away wins, they've come at Wolves, Man Utd, Bournemouth, Nottingham Forest, Aston Villa, Fulham and Newcastle.

It's often been a criticism of Moyes that he has a poor record against the elite. And yet this season Everton have won at the teams ranked third (Man Utd) and fourth (Aston Villa) while also taking all three points from another big ground, St James' Park.

And while Moyes has won just one of his 20 Premier League away games against Arsenal, that did come as recently as December 2023 when he took his West Ham side there and won 2-0. That was actually his last visit there.

The 2-0 this time is 50/1 - a massive hike from the 14/1 for 1-0 - and, what the heck, it's worth a try.

Everton have only conceded 14 goals on the road (ranked 2nd to Arsenal's 13) so a clean sheet isn't out of the equation.

And, noting one of Arsenal's huge strengths, it's worth pointing out that no team has shipped fewer goals from set piece situations than Everton (six). With penalties it's eight.

As for Everton's scoring prowess, they've netted five goals in their last two Premier League games so have been much better at finishing things off than they were earlier in the campaign.

A 20-year wait for a title causes fragility and you can bet that if Everton score the first goal, the atmosphere will turn and nerves will become frayed. In those circumstances, the Toffees can maybe go and nick another. Add in a few worldie saves from Jordan Pickford... easy!

Those looking for a more modest way of getting with the visitors, Everton + 1 is 11/5 on the handicaps.

English Premier League: Arsenal v Everton (Match Odds)

Saturday 14 March, 5.30pm

Arsenal

Back 1.4

Lay 1.41

Everton

Back 10.5

Lay 11

The Draw

Back 5

Lay 5.1

Dewsbury-Hall worth a visit on Bet Builder

With Betfair offering punters the chance to Bet £10 and Get £10 on Football Accas and Bet Builders, let's combine Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall to score with Over 2.5 bookings at 10/1.

Dewsbury-Hall has scored five times in his last 12 games and is Everton's joint-top scorer in the Premier League this season.

He's 15/2 to score anytime and that's doing the heavy lifting in this particular BB.

As for the other component, Arsenal average around one home card per game while it's just under two for Everton on the road.

Referee Andy Madley averages just over three yellows per game while he's flashed three reds in his last seven matches.

Whichever way you come at it from, going over 2.5 cards seems a fairly modest ask.