🏆 Inter, Atalanta in last 16, 👀 Napoli-Juve: CL points needed 📊 | OneFootball

The fate of the Italian teams in the Champions League will be decided in the last 180 minutes of the group stage. Two more matches to play to determine which will be the eight teams directly qualified for the round of 16 and which will have to go through the playoff lottery to continue their European journey.

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The overall performance of the Italian teams is positive so far, especially because Inter, Atalanta, Napoli, and Juventus are still in control of their destiny.

In this edition, in fact, Inter and Atalanta currently occupy a position among the top eight, which would guarantee direct access to the round of 16.

Napoli and Juventus, on the other hand, must not make mistakes: important results will be needed to secure at least a spot in the playoffs and avoid an early exit from the competition.

🇮🇹 4 ITALIAN TEAMS TO THE NEXT ROUND: THE SITUATION

The comparison with last season makes the picture even more encouraging. After the first six matchdays of the previous edition, in fact, only Inter was among the top eight, while Milan, Atalanta, and Juventus were already out of the race for the top spots in the standings. 

But what is concretely needed to advance? La Gazzetta dello Sport outlines the parameters and scenarios that the Italian teams will need to pursue in the last two matchdays to continue playing in the most prestigious competition in European football. 

🔝 WHAT IS NEEDED TO REACH THE ROUND OF 16?

How many points are needed for the round of 16? Only the field can provide a definitive answer, but relying on mathematics, the conclusion is quite clear. Currently, Atletico Madrid sets the reference threshold: eighth place with 12 points after six matches.

We can hypothesize, therefore, that to be among the top eight, an average of two points per game is needed, which projected over the entire course brings the threshold to 16 points. A target in line with what happened in the last edition, when Aston Villa needed exactly 16 points to secure direct access to the round of 16.

👀 NAPOLI AND JUVE IN THE PLAYOFFS? HERE ARE THE NECESSARY POINTS

And for the playoffs? Following the same criterion, the threshold is currently represented by Copenhagen, 24th with 7 points in six matches. The projection leads to a range between 9 and 10 points (9.33 to be exact).

Again, the comparison with last season helps clarify the picture: Club Brugge needed 11 points to be among the teams qualified for the playoffs. Fewer points that can only make Napoli and Juventus happy.

This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇮🇹 here.

📸 STEFANO RELLANDINI - AFP or licensors