Santos’ relegation odds after matchday 30 in the Brasileirão | OneFootball

Last Sunday, Santos managed to secure a 2-2 draw against Botafogo at Nilton Santos Stadium, in the 30th round of the Brazilian Championship. The result wasn’t ideal, but it allowed Peixe to gain a slight advantage over Vitória, the first team in the relegation zone.

The probability of Santos being relegated after their defeat to Vitória at Vila Belmiro was 34.8%. After the draw against Botafogo in Rio, this number saw a slight increase and is now at 35.4%. The data comes from UFMG (Federal University of Minas Gerais).

It’s also worth noting that Santos has one game in hand compared to Vitória, the first team in the Z4. The derby against Palmeiras, from the 13th round, was postponed. The match is now scheduled for November 15, at 9 p.m. (Brasília time), at Vila Belmiro.

At the moment, the four clubs with the highest chances of relegation in the Brasileirão are the current members of the Z4. Sport (99.9%), Juventude (93.8%), Fortaleza (78.8%), and Vitória (57.8%) lead the list of likely relegation candidates, followed by Santos (35.4%) and Internacional (10.2%).

Vitória’s chance of relegation, in fact, rose considerably after their 1-0 defeat to Corinthians at Barradão last Saturday. Before that, Leão had a 44.6% chance of going down—so the number has increased by more than 10 percentage points.

In the next round, Santos faces another direct clash in their attempt to move away from the relegation zone for good. Peixe will face Fortaleza at Vila Belmiro this Saturday at 4 p.m. (Brasília time), in the 31st round.

Santos’ Position in the Table

With the draw against Botafogo, Santos remains in 16th place, now with 32 points, one more than Vitória, who lost to Corinthians and sits at the top of the relegation zone.

Upcoming Santos Matches

This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇧🇷 here.