Saturday Football Cheat Sheet: Best bets Premier League matchday 27, EFL and more | OneFootball

English Premier League Tips

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Premier League football tips and predictions

15:00 - Brentford v Brighton: Back Bees in corners race

Mark O'Haire: Brentford's set-piece strength has been well documented with the Bees' appearing exceptionally dangerous from throw-ins, free-kicks and corners. And the capital club have proven very capable at collecting high corner counts; Brentford are avergaing 4.92 corners per-game, forcing 5+ flag-kicks in seven of their last 12 home tussles.

Brighton arrive at the Gtech Stadium with a solitary league success since the start of December. The Seagulls have lost their attacking swagger and still seem unable to keep their sheets clean; Fabian Hurzeler's group are short on confidence and look very vulnerable here, though I prefer to oppose Albion in the corner markets.

Brighton have conceded five corners or more in five of their last six away EPL encounters, facing 4.62 corners across the campaign. With Brentford in confident mood, a similar haul should be expected on Saturday and Brentford to win the Race to 5 Corners at 1/1 stands-out.

15:00 - Chelsea v Burnley: Alan Shearer's prediction

Alan Shearer makes predictions for every Premier League game this weekend. Here'w what he says about Chelsea v Burnley:

I worked the Hull v Chelsea game in the FA Cup and Chelsea were really impressive. It should have been a lot more because they missed so many chances. But, they were really poor defensively against Leeds before that.

Burnley got their win against Palace then mad seven changes in the FA Cup and get dumped out of that which it's tough to know, because they've not exactly got loads of fixtures, but Chelsea will have too much for Burnley at Stamford Bridge.

Burnley didn't have any midweek game, but I guess Scott Parker is also trying to look after the squad and he's trying to give players minutes who perhaps haven't played much this season, but it was a strange one.

For Hull, making all those changes on the Friday evening, I get it, because they're fourth, and they're going to try to get into the Premier League. But for Burnley, you've just had a great win, and you're not playing again for another eight days. It was a surprise for me.

Alan's Prediction:Chelsea Win

15:00 - Aston Villa v Leeds: Back a low-scoring game

The Opta Stat:

There has been just seven goals scored in Aston Villa's last six Premier League games (4 for, 3 against), an average of just 1.2 per game. In their previous six games, more than treble the number of goals were scored in Villa's games (23 - 3.8 per game).

17:30 - West Ham v Bournemouth: Back goals in TV game

Mark Stinchcombe: This looks like it should be an entertaining affair on Saturday tea time. West Ham have won three of their last five Premier League games to claw themselves within three points of safety and after a mid-season wobble, Bournemouth are unbeaten in their last six matches.

West Ham's recent success could be attributed to their increased desperation and as a result they are leaving more space at the back with nine of their last 11 games seeing Over 2.5 goals. They've still failed to keep a clean sheet at home all season as well.

For Bournemouth, they are an Overs machine on the road with 25 of their last 32 Premier League matches featuring three or more goals (78%). The reverse fixture finished 2-2 and I'm hoping for more of the same with the goal line set at 2.75.

20:00 - Man City v Newcastle: Fresh hosts can cash in at 11/10

Dave Tindall: While thumping Qarabag was great for morale, it was still a lengthy trip for Newcastle. That tie was a third straight away game after visits to Tottenham and Villa Park. By contrast, three of City's last four games have been at home and the other was a short trip to Liverpool. They should be refreshed after having a full week off since a routine 2-0 FA Cup win over Salford.

Newcastle did extremely well to win all those three away games, especially with Howe under pressure at the start of that run. But I wonder how much is left in the tank for this one - the hardest of the lot - while the continued absence of Bruno Guimaraes is likely to catch up with them sooner rather than later. The Magpies haven't won any of the 10 Premier League games that the influential Brazilian has missed in his Newcastle career.

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EFL tips and predictions

15:00 Championship - Watford v Derby: Back BTTS

Jack Critchley: Ed Still was unhappy with his side's first half performance against Preston last weekend, yet he was encouraged by his team's second half display. The Hornets ramped up the intensity, played with plenty of energy and could easily have left Deepdale with maximum points. It's too early to draw any conclusions from Still's tenure, however, the fans seemed to be pleased with the vitality of that display and they should be able to test the Derby defence this weekend.

The Hertfordshire side will be determined to end their winless sequence which stretches back to New Year's Day. They've failed to score in two of their last three matches here, but those were under the previous regime and this is a fresh start at Vicarage Road. They have several young, enterprising players in the squad and should create a few opportunities.

Derby beat Swansea last weekend without too much fanfare. John Eustace's side have won four of their last six and have particularly handy on their travels. They've found the net in each of their last ten away games, winning seven of them. Although they've managed to keep three clean sheets, those shutouts have come against Sheffield Wednesday, Preston and an undercooked Bristol City outfit. This will be tougher.

15:00 League 1 - Huddersfield v Barnsley: Back hosts in 8/1 acca

Alan Dudman: Two successive 1-0 losses for Huddersfield have undone all the good work of Liam Manning since taking over from Lee Grant. They produced very little output against Doncaster in midweek - losing 1-0 with zero shots on target and an xG of just 0.38.

In January, they ground out 1-0 victories against Luton and Bradford, and the common theme from the defeats and those victories is that Manning is playing a style not dissimilar from that of Grant. Manning needs to get rid of five at the back and two defensive midfielders and play more front-foot football.

Barnsley as the opponents might help, as they concede many a goal on the road and haven't kept a clean sheet away since early December.

Town have won five of their last six home league games against Barnsley (L1), scoring 2+ goals in each victory during that time, and I expect a bit more of a performance this weekend.

European football tips and predictions

17:00 Serie A - Lecce v Inter - Dazzling Dimarco to help leaders bounce back

Kevin Hatchard: Inter's closest challengers in the Serie A title race Milan dropped points in midweek as they were held to a 1-1 draw by Como, which means that Inter have a seven-point lead at the top of the table with 14 matches remaining. With champions Napoli consistently dropping points, it looks increasingly likely that Inter will reclaim the Scudetto this term.

It was a surprise to see Inter's swashbuckling wing-back Federico Dimarco left out of the Bodo/Glimt game in the Champions League in midweek, and I'd expect the Italian international to return to the line-up here. The boyhood Inter fan is having a truly extraordinary season - he has delivered a staggering 14 Serie A assists, putting him miles clear at the top of the charts.

At 10/3, I'm happy to back Dimarco in the Anytime Assist market here. Although opponents Lecce have picked up of late, winning their last two games, the relegation-threatened side have struggled against the big hitters. They have lost all three of their games against Milan, and have suffered defeats against Atalanta, Napoli, Como and Roma. When they visited San Siro to face Inter earlier in the campaign, they lost 1-0.

Lecce don't concede many goals, but I'm still confident Inter will bounce back here, and I can't ignore Dimarco's incredible assist numbers.