Vasco’s dream fading: maths dampens Copa do Brasil hopes | OneFootball

Vasco suffered a heavy blow with the 3-0 defeat to Botafogo. The impact of the result was immediately reflected in the calculations of specialized websites. The team's chances of reaching the Libertadores plummeted to near zero, while the Sudamericana is now a reality.

+ One of the reasons for Vasco’s drop in performance

The remote chances of Libertadores

The numbers don’t lie and they are pessimistic. The website Probabilidades no Futebol, from the Mathematics Department of UFMG, is the most “optimistic.” It still points to a 5.5% chance of Vasco reaching the Libertadores qualification zone.

The portal Gato Mestre, from ge, is harsher, indicating a range from 0.17% to 3.41%. Infobola is even more pessimistic, giving a margin from 0% to 1%. As for the title race, it is mathematically null on all platforms (0%).

Sudamericana is Vasco’s reality

If the Libertadores is a distant dream, the Copa Sudamericana is the most likely destination. The UFMG department calculates an 88.4% chance that the Gigante da Colina will secure a spot in the continental competition.

On the positive side, the threat of relegation has vanished. Infobola points to a 0% risk. Gato Mestre (0.07%) and UFMG (0.059%) show only residual and statistical chances, confirming Vasco’s stay in Série A.

Sudamericana is now closer to Vasco’s reality – Photo: Bruno Murito/ge

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This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇧🇷 here.