Arsenal v Chelsea: Stats and best bets for the Carabao Cup semi-final second leg | OneFootball

EFL Cup Tips

3 Stats and 3 bets for Arsenal v Chelsea

Arsenal host Chelsea in the second leg of the Carabao Cup semi-final, but can the Blues overturn a first-leg deficit against an in-form Gunners side? Read on for the Opta stats and best bets for this high-stakes London derby...

Arsenal v Chelsea EFL Cup Semi-Final Second LegTuesday 3rd Feb, 20:00

Arsenal and Chelsea meet with a place in the Carabao Cup Final on the line, as the Gunners look to protect a first-leg away win and reach their first EFL Cup Final since 2017-18.

History strongly favours the home side, who are targeting a ninth League Cup Final, as teams that win the first leg of a semi-final away from home almost always progress, with only two of 32 ever eliminated. The Gunners are also backed up by their recent head-to-head form, with Arsenal unbeaten in their last nine meetings against Chelsea (W6 D3), while the Blues have lost their last three visits to the Emirates.

Chelsea, though, have shown resilience at this stage before. They have progressed from three of their last four EFL Cup semi-finals after losing the first leg, including against Arsenal in 1997-98, and have won all three of their away matches in this season's competition.

Read on for three stats and three bets for the highly anticipated match...

Bet #1- Arsenal and BTTS @ 12/5

The Stat:

History strongly favours the Gunners after winning the first leg away from home, and their nine-game unbeaten run against Chelsea suggests they are well placed to qualify. However, Chelsea's strong away form in this season's EFL Cup, combined with Arsenal's mixed defensive record at home against Premier League opposition in the competition, points towards goals at both ends.

The Bet:

Bet #2- Saka to Score or Assist @ 5/6

The Stat:

Bukayo Saka's creativity has been invaluable in this competition, and with Arsenal likely to see plenty of the ball, he looks a strong candidate to make a decisive contribution. Of all players to have played at least 180 minutes in the EFL Cup this season, only Rubin Colwill (4.2) has averaged more chances created per 90 minutes than Saka (3.7).

The Bet:

Bet #3- Garnacho to Score or Assist @ 11/5

The Stat:

Chelsea's Alejandro Garnacho has been involved in 10 goals in his last six appearances in the EFL Cup (7 goals, 3 assists), coming off the bench to score twice against both Cardiff in the quarter-final and Arsenal in the semi-final first leg. After his potentially confidence-knocking performance against West Ham on Saturday, he is 11/5 on the Betfair Sportsbook to score or assist in this Semi-Final match against The Blues.

The Bet:

Back all 3 bets in a Bet Builder at almost 9/1:

Now read Paul Higham's full preview for the match

Recommended bets

Back Arsenal to Qualify and BTTS @ 12/5

Back Saka to Score or Assist @ 5/6

Back Garnacho to Score or Assist @ 11/5