Libertadores mission: Fluminense need G4 form to make G6

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·02 de outubro de 2025

Libertadores mission: Fluminense need G4 form to make G6

The 2025 Brazilian Championship enters a decisive phase, and Fluminense is facing a final stretch that requires calculation, objectivity, and efficiency. With 13 rounds ahead, the team needs a G4 performance to reach the G6 and secure a spot in the 2026 Libertadores.

Current standings

Vídeos OneFootball

Position: 7th place
Points: 35 points in 26 games
Historical target for G6: 63 points
Remaining points in dispute: 39
Points needed: 28
Required performance: 71.8%

This means that Fluminense needs to achieve at least 9 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses during this period.

In the last five Brazilian Championships, the minimum points for 6th place ranged between 60 and 64 points. Adopting 63 as the "cut-off mark" is realistic. With 35 points, Fluminense still depends only on itself, but it will have to deliver unprecedented consistency this season.

The schedule includes seven games at Maracanã and six away. The performance as a host will be decisive.

Home games (7): Atlético-MG, Juventude, Internacional, Mirassol, Flamengo, São Paulo, and Bahia.Away games (6): Mirassol (postponed game), Vasco, Ceará, Cruzeiro, Palmeiras, and Grêmio.

Critical points of the final stretch

Maracanã as a trump card: Out of 21 points at home, the team needs to secure at least 18. Stumbles against lower-table opponents, like Juventude, would be fatal.
Classics: Vasco (away) and Flamengo (home) carry additional weight, both for the direct impact on the table and the moral effect. In Vasco's case, there's also the detail that the classic will be played at Maracanã.
Direct confrontations: São Paulo and Bahia are direct rivals for the spot. The duel against Bahia, in the last round, could be decisive.
Performance away: The team will need to seek points as a visitor, something that has not been consistent throughout the season.

With 39 points in dispute, Fluminense can only afford to lose 11. This equates to a maximum of three losses and one draw. The requirement is for almost perfect regularity, a level that the team has not yet demonstrated in 2025.

Context of the competition

Bahia (6th place): 40 points, experiencing a phase of fluctuation but still has an advantage.
Direct competitors: São Paulo, and perhaps in the final stretch, Internacional, are also fighting for a spot.
Cut-off zone: a surge from any of these rivals could raise the "cut-off mark" to 64 points.

Fluminense needs to turn numbers into performance. The schedule offers a real chance for a comeback, especially with home games, but the required performance is high. The team depends on immediate consistency, offensive efficiency, and emotional control to avoid losing points in key matches.

If they want to play in the 2026 Libertadores, the Tricolor will need to have, from now until the 38th round, the demeanor of a big team.

This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇧🇷 here.