OneFootball
·12 de março de 2026
🤖 Opta algorithm backs Madrid, Barça and Atleti to reach the quarter-finals

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Yahoo sportsOneFootball
·12 de março de 2026

The landscape of the Champions League has been defined following the latest update of Opta’s statistical model. The data leads to a clear conclusion: Spanish football is regaining its status of dominance on the continent.
While Real Madrid and FC Barcelona are consolidating themselves as the strongest candidates to reach the quarterfinals, other major European projects, such as Manchester City, are going through a critical situation.

Real Madrid boasts a 82.95% probability of qualifying, a figure that reflects their reliability in knockout rounds.
For its part, FC Barcelona maintains an upward trend with 68.15%, consolidating its current sporting project in the face of international metrics.
Both clubs—along with Atlético de Madrid, the top Spanish team with a 96.68% chance—are positioned at the top of the table, only surpassed by the numerical efficiency of Bayern Munich (99.96% chance) and the (increasingly less surprising) Bodo Glimt.
The discordant note of the round comes from the Premier League teams. Manchester City has seen its chances plummet to a worrying 17.05% after last night’s defeat at the Bernabéu.
The situation in London is especially delicate according to the algorithm; both Chelsea and Tottenham are in the lower part of the table, with 7.04% and 3.32% respectively, which virtually leaves them out of the next round.
Liverpool finds itself in a much more balanced situation; the Anfield side maintains a 51.36% probability, which suggests a nail-biting finish to their tie, placing them right at the threshold that separates European success from failure.
This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇪🇸 here.
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