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·16 de janeiro de 2026
Saturday Football Cheat Sheet: Best bets Premier League, Championship and more

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·16 de janeiro de 2026


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Dave Tindall: Here's a quirk that may not get much exposure. And it's one that helps support a pro Erling Haaland bet. In the last eight Premier League meetings between Man Utd and Man City, there are six examples of a City player scoring two or more goals (Ilkay Gundogan even did it in an FA Cup final once).
Haaland is responsible for three of those, scoring twice in the 3-0 win earlier in the current campaign and netting a brace at Old Trafford a couple of seasons ago. He also once fired a hat-trick in a 6-3 pummelling at the Etihad.
So the OddsBoost for Haaland to do it again - 7/2 to 9/2 - has to appeal. The Norwegian has landed the 'two or more' bet 12 times for club and country this season and, after a slight drought by his standards, looks ready to explode again. His sense of theatre suggests Old Trafford would be the perfect place.
Joe Dyer: This is a pressurised London derby contested between two of the league's dirtier teams (it's 6th v 7th in the fouls per game charts). Perhaps, then, the fouls markets are the ones to focus on? Here is a treble featuring a trio from the home side.
Given injuries we know that Joao Palhinha is very likely to start the game - he is the first player in the bet and we are going to back him for a pair of fouls. To my eye, it looked as though he attempted double figures against Villa last weekend. Two seems achievable here. Next up, Xavi Simons, who has surprised me with his penchant for a foul or a poorly timed tackle and finally the aforementioned Cristian Romero. That paid look strong candidates for one or more.
We can back the trio in a fouls ACCA at 8/5. If you up Romero to two fouls the bet pays at 12/5.
Mark Stinchcombe: Just the 11 goals in two games to start Liam Rosensior's Chelsea reign and his first Premier League game in-charge won't be easy against in-form Brentford. The Bess are unbeaten in their last six games with five wins in that period to take them up to the dizzy heights of fifth. So what can we expect? Well more goals. It's now 22 of Chelsea's last 29 games that have seen Over 2.5 goals (76%) and Brentford's matches have seen 61 goals in their 21 leagues games at an average of 3.0 per-game. Keith Andrews men have created the fifth most expected goals yet have only kept five clean sheets at the back all season. A recipe for goals.
Mark O'Haire: Leeds have only managed to keep their sheets clean on three occasions this season, none of which have arrived on home soil since August. Both Teams To Score has been the right selection in 67% of their overall EPL outings, including eight on the spin at Elland Road and a repeat holds plenty of appeal at 1.88.
Fulham arrive in West Yorkshire in fine fettle - the Cottagers are unbeaten in six (W4-D2-L0) to quietly move up to ninth, just four points off the top-four. Marco Silva's men have scored in each of their last 10, whilst only Arsenal and Chelsea boast a better hit-rate in terms of getting on the scoresheet this season with Fulham scoring in 18/21 overall. Like Leeds, Fulham have struggled for consistent shutouts, recording just one on their travels this term with seven of those 10 away days delivering profit for our proposed BTTS play.
The Opta Stat:
Over the last six Premier League matchdays, only West Ham United (1) have earned fewer points than Crystal Palace (2 - D2 L4); on the road they've lost their last two games, the Eagles last lost three in a row in February 2024 under Roy Hodgson.
Alan Shearer: It should be straightforward win for Liverpool albeit they made things difficult in the FA Cup on Monday. I can't see anything other than a home win for Liverpool. It'll be really tough for Burnley. Home win.
We've spoken about Ekitike all season. He's been the shining light at Liverpool. Wirtz missed an absolute sitter didn't he against Barnsley but then scored a great goal. There's really encouraging signs with what those two are giving now.
Max Liu: Arsenal won the reverse fixture 3-0 at the Emirates in the first match of Ange Postecoglou's ill-fated reign at Forest. They have a poor record against the Gunners, losing eight of their last 10 Premier League games against Arsenal, though both exceptions have come at the City Ground since their return to the top flight in 2022. Forest beat Arsenal 1-0 here in May 2023 and this fixture ended 0-0 last season.
The last three fixtures between the teams have ended 3-0, 0-0, 3-0, so this has not been one for both teams to score backers. 'No' in Both Teams to Score on Saturday is 20/23 but if you believe the Gunners are a good bet to take three more points in the title race, backing them to win to nil is 6/4. ..
Excluding penalties, Arsenal have scored more set-piece goals than any other side in the Premier League this season (14), while only Bournemouth (14) have conceded more from set plays than Nottingham Forest (13). Gunners defender Magalhaes continues to be a threat in opposition penalty boxes. He scored in Arsenal's last away match - the win at Bournemouth - and at 15/2 we will take a chance on him finding the net here.
Jack Critchley: Coventry's drop off has been well-documented and they were also dumped out of the FA Cup by Stoke last weekend. The Sky Blues have lost their mojo, which may have been caused by a combination of fixture overload, key injuries and the opposition raising their game against the leaders. Frank Lampard has refreshed his squad with the addition of two wide players, with Min Hyeok-Yang and Romaine Esse both arriving at the CBS...
Leicester remain ensconced in midtable and although there is still a modicum of pressure on the shoulders of Marti Cifuentes, back-to-back home wins has left the Spaniard in a slightly more favourable position. They have managed to offload Wout Faes this week, which should help with the financial issues at the club, and there are likely to be a few more outgoings at the KP this month.
Alan Dudman: I'm with my goal chums here Chesterfield - a team high on entertainment stakes this term with F23 home and F19 away making them one of the leading scorers in the second tier. They recently got two at MK Dons and from their last 15 matches - 10 have hit the BTTS target.
Bromley continue to excel and have reached a nirvana at the top of the table - and the last time they failed to score away from home was back in September and in Michael Cheek, once again they have a man in form who scored a recent hat-trick in a goal blitz at Crawley. They've got a fair xG on the road this term at 1.46.
Andy Woodman's team have netted 24 goals from set piece situations in League Two this season, the most of any side in the competition and four more than they've scored from open play (20) and with that in mind, I like the first-half bet here and we tend to get a decent price on goals in 45 minutes.
Kevin Hatchard: Despite an horrendous week, I think Real Madrid can cut loose and run riot against a Levante side that is deep in relegation danger. Last season's second-tier champions have lost to Barcelona and Atletico Madrid this season, conceding three goals in each game. Overall, they have lost ten of 18 league matches, conceding 30 goals in the process.
The market expects Madrid to win this comfortably, so we'll have to be creative. I'll back Rodrygo to score at 2.36 on the Exchange - the Brazilian winger has scored in three of his last seven matches, and he was rested completely in midweek. He's gone from being a player that looked like he might leave the club to one of its most consistent performers.
Ao vivo









































