Brasileirão title race: Palmeiras vs Flamengo after matchday 33 | OneFootball

Brasileirão title race: Palmeiras vs Flamengo after matchday 33 | OneFootball

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·11. November 2025

Brasileirão title race: Palmeiras vs Flamengo after matchday 33

Artikelbild:Brasileirão title race: Palmeiras vs Flamengo after matchday 33

The race for the title of the Brazilian Championship gained a new chapter with the end of the 33rd round. On the night of last Sunday, Flamengo defeated Santos 3-2 at Maracanã. Meanwhile, Palmeiras was defeated by Mirassol, 2-1, away from home.

The results brought Flamengo back close to Palmeiras. The Verdão remains in the lead due to tiebreaker criteria, but the team from Rio matched the rival's 68 points. Thus, the probability of winning the title has become divided again. The alviverde team stayed ahead, with 54.6% chance of lifting the trophy, while the Rubro-Negro has 43.7%. The data comes from UFMG (Federal University of Minas Gerais).


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The statistics underwent a dramatic change after the results of the 33rd round. Previously, Palmeiras was considered the clear favorite for the title, with a 74.8% chance. Meanwhile, Flamengo had a probability of only 21.7%. This number, therefore, increased by more than 20 percentage points.

Artikelbild:Brasileirão title race: Palmeiras vs Flamengo after matchday 33

(Photo: Cesar Greco/Palmeiras)

Palmeiras and Flamengo will play their postponed matches during this FIFA date and will have many absences due to call-ups. Verdão will visit Santos in a classic at Vila Belmiro and will be without nine players from its squad. Flamengo, on the other hand, will face the bottom team Sport without seven of its main athletes.

Other competitors in the G4, Cruzeiro and Mirassol, have remote chances of lifting the Série A trophy. The Raposa only drew with Fluminense and saw its probability drop to 1.7. On the other hand, the team from São Paulo, despite the victory over Palmeiras, has only a 0.02% chance of winning the title.

If Palmeiras and Flamengo finish tied in points at the end of the Brasileirão, the first two tiebreaker criteria are: number of victories and goal difference. At the moment, Verdão has one more win compared to the Rio rival and, therefore, occupies the top of the table.

See the schedules of Palmeiras and Flamengo until the end of the Brazilian Championship:

🟢⚪ Palmeiras

  • Santos – Round 13 – Away
  • Atlético-MG – Round 34 – Away
  • Fluminense – Round 35 – Home
  • Grêmio – Round 36 – Away
  • Vitória – Round 37 – Home
  • Ceará – Round 38 – Away

🔴⚫ Flamengo

  • Sport – Round 12 – Away
  • Fluminense – Round 34 – Away
  • Red Bull Bragantino – Round 35 – Home
  • Atlético-MG – Round 36 – Away
  • Ceará – Round 37 – Home
  • Mirassol – Round 38 – Away

Current standings

  • Palmeiras: leader, with 68 points (21 wins, five draws, and six losses)
  • Flamengo: runner-up, with the same points (20 wins, eight draws, and four losses)

This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇧🇷 here.

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