Supercomputer names the 3 EFL Championship teams who will get relegated this season | OneFootball

The Opta supercomputer is refining its predictions for the end of this Championship season, so here are the three clubs that it expects to go down.

The Opta supercomputer keeps us updated on where it thinks everybody will end up by the end of the season, and here's who it believes will fall from the Championship at the end of this season.

With just five points separating West Bromwich Albion in 17th place from the play-offs, there's no question that the Championship is tight this season. A game of fine margins feels finer than ever in this particular division.

But come next May, three teams will have to fall. The Opta Supercomputer keeps an updated record of where it thinks everybody will end up by the end of the season, so Football League World have looked at it, and here are the three clubs that the supercomputer believes will be playing League One football next season.

Sheffield Wednesday

With 99.42% certainty that this will happen, it is absolutely no surprise to see the first of these first three places occupied by Sheffield Wednesday.

Wednesday currently have -4 points as a result of their deduction for entering into administration at the end of October, and it's worth bearing in mind that they would still be bottom of the pile had they not been docked 12 points by the EFL, and there may be further deductions coming this season.

In one sense, this almost doesn't matter. The story of Sheffield Wednesday's 2025-26 season so far has concerned their survival as a club, and the biggest win they've had this season has been being put into administration in the first place, because this allows them to wash their hands of the hated Dejphon Chansiri and start preparing for life under new ownership.

But the numbers don't lie. Wednesday are now twenty points from Championship survival, and relegation this season is already being broadly considered an inevitability. That this may be considered an acceptable price to pay for the promise of a different future speaks volumes for the condition in which the club found itself in the first place.

Norwich City

Arguably the biggest surprise of the 2025-26 season so far has been the absolute collapse of Norwich City to 23rd place in the table. They've already spun the managerial roulette wheel and offloaded Liam Manning, replacing him with Philippe Clement, but it's far too soon to say whether this will drastically improve their fortunes on the pitch or not.

If there have been early signs, they've already been mixed. Norwich were comfortably beaten in his first game in charge at Birmingham on Saturday, and while only a stoppage-time equaliser prevented them from beating Oxford United in midweek, it remains the case that this is the sort of match that any team hoping to pull clear of danger should be winning, and while it represented an improvement on previous home form, this was only in terms of them picking up their first home point of the season following seven straight defeats.

The Opta Supercomputer doesn't believe that they will improve enough. The fact remains that three clubs have to go down come the end of this season, and there's little reason beyond the change of manager to believe that they will pull clear, a grim fact reflected in the computer's 72.64% certainty that they will go down. Norwich City have still got the time to turn things around and pull clear of the drop, but the likelihood of this happening has diminished week-on-week, and the evidence that they will has been scant.

Oxford United

The Opta Supercomputer completes its relegation predictions by saying that the three clubs currently occupying the bottom positions are the most likely to still be there come the end of the season. Its confidence level in this, however, is not especially high, standing at 39.86%.

The odds don't look particularly good for Oxford United, though the narrowness of the margins offer an opportunity for hope. They're five games without a win, but three of those five have been draws, and they put in a good shift in holding Middlesbrough to a 1-1 draw at The Kassam Stadium last Saturday. Oxford have also scored more goals than any other club in the Championship's bottom nine so far this season.

Gary Rowett is an experienced manager at this level, but he's clearly under pressure at the moment. This presents the owners of the club with a dilemma. Rowett was appointed as manager five days before Christmas last year, but with in-form Ipswich visiting The Kassam Stadium on Saturday and potentially tricky away matches at Swansea and Blackburn following that, whether he'll get to celebrate a first anniversary as the Oxford United manager is very much open to question.