Supercomputer predicts Arsenal’s chance of winning the Champions League

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·10. September 2025

Supercomputer predicts Arsenal’s chance of winning the Champions League

Arsenal demonstrated significant progress in European football last season, reaching the semi-final of the Champions League and confirming their status as one of the strongest teams on the continent. Their return to the competition in the 2023/2024 campaign, after a lengthy absence, saw them advance to the quarter-final stage. Building on that foundation, they improved the following season by reaching the semi-final, where they were ultimately defeated by the eventual champions, PSG.

The club is now considered one of the leading contenders for this season’s edition of the tournament, with many attributing this to the steady progress being made both on and off the pitch. Their summer transfer activity has been widely regarded as strategic and effective, strengthening the team in key areas. Such additions have heightened expectations and increased belief among supporters that Arsenal could be capable of lifting the coveted trophy.

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Competition Among Europe’s Elite

Despite their improved performances, the road ahead will not be straightforward. Several of Europe’s traditional giants, including Real Madrid, Liverpool, PSG, and Chelsea, have also bolstered their squads and are well prepared for the challenges of the new season. This sets the stage for an intense and highly competitive campaign, where consistency, resilience, and tactical discipline will be decisive factors in determining how far each club progresses.

The forthcoming league phase of the Champions League will be particularly significant. Performances during this stage are expected to serve as an early indication of the side’s potential to compete at the highest level throughout the competition. For Arsenal, navigating these fixtures successfully will be essential in proving their credentials as genuine title contenders.

(Photo by Justin Setterfield/Getty Images)

Predictions and Expectations

As reported by The Daily Mail, Opta’s supercomputer has produced predictions on the likelihood of various teams winning the Champions League. According to these projections, Liverpool holds the highest probability of success at 20.4 per cent, while Arsenal follow closely behind with a 16.0 per cent chance of lifting the trophy. Such figures reflect the growing recognition of the progress made in recent seasons and underline the expectations surrounding the club’s European campaign.

With a strengthened squad and growing confidence, Arsenal must now embrace the challenge of being viewed as one of the favourites. Success will require composure and determination, but their recent trajectory suggests they are increasingly equipped to compete with the very best.

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