🇮🇹 Another play-off for Italy? The Azzurri’s World Cup hopes in the balance | OneFootball

🇮🇹 Another play-off for Italy? The Azzurri’s World Cup hopes in the balance | OneFootball

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·10 September 2025

🇮🇹 Another play-off for Italy? The Azzurri’s World Cup hopes in the balance

Article image:🇮🇹 Another play-off for Italy? The Azzurri’s World Cup hopes in the balance

Italy runs the risk of writing a new bitter chapter in its recent history: for the third consecutive time, it could end up in the playoffs to qualify for a World Cup.

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After the painful eliminations of 2017 (against Sweden) and 2022 (against North Macedonia), the Azzurri are once again between a rock and a hard place.


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But, what needs to happen for Italy to qualify directly without going through the playoffs?


👀 The scenarios

The group situation is complicated: Italy does not only depend on itself.

  1. Option 1: Norway must draw or lose at least one of the two home matches against Estonia or Israel. In that case, if Italy won all its matches and beat the Norwegians in the direct confrontation in November, it would finish first.
  2. Option 2: If Italy and Norway win all their matches until the direct confrontation, then Italy must beat Norway and recover a goal difference of no less than 16 goals. An almost impossible mission.

⚠️ The danger of Israel

It's not enough to just look at Norway: Israel can still snatch second place from Italy.

It will play away from home against both Italy and Norway in October: these will be two key matches that could completely change the standings.


💔 The specter of the playoffs

If it does not achieve first place, Italy will have to risk everything in the playoffs.

A déjà vu that makes fans shudder: the last two World Cup qualifiers have been a nightmare.

To repeat would mean risking another sensational exclusion.

This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇪🇸 here.


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