Corinthians stumble again, G7 dream slips further away | OneFootball

Corinthians had been on the rise this season, but has once again stumbled in the last two rounds of the Campeonato Brasileiro and is now further from the G7.

After a period of inconsistency, Dorival Júnior’s team managed to string together three consecutive victories and showed signs of gaining momentum. However, Timão then lost back-to-back matches to Red Bull Bragantino and Ceará, leaving the team stuck in the middle of the table.

The alvinegro team currently occupies 13th place, with 42 points. The gap to the G7 is nine points, the same difference that separates the team from the relegation zone.

According to data from the Mathematics Department at UFMG (Federal University of Minas Gerais), which calculates football probabilities, Corinthians has just a 1.1% chance of qualifying for next year’s Libertadores through the Brasileirão.

G6 becomes G7

It’s not just the top six teams that will earn a spot in the 2026 Libertadores. That’s because the G6 has become G7, as Palmeiras and Flamengo, the leader and runner-up in the Brasileirão, respectively, are playing in this year’s continental final and are already mathematically guaranteed a place in the next edition.

Thus, with one of them inevitably winning the title and securing a spot next year, another berth opens up through the league’s points system.

Marathon ahead

Looking to bounce back, Corinthians is preparing for a marathon of matches after the return from the FIFA break. The team will play seven games in one month, including the semifinals of the Copa do Brasil, against Cruzeiro.

With Timão so far from the G7, the Copa do Brasil becomes even more important. That’s because a potential national title would allow the team to achieve one of its goals for this season: a spot in the 2026 Copa Libertadores.

Corinthians’ next match

This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇧🇷 here.