The Independent
·30 May 2025
England Women vs Portugal Women prediction: Lionesses to edge tight contest?

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Yahoo sportsThe Independent
·30 May 2025
England face Portugal at Wembley this Friday as Sarina Wiegman’s side look to end their home Nations Legue campaign in the perfect way ahead of Euro 2025 this summer.
The Lionesses head to Switzerland as defending champions and will be treating their last two Nations League fixtures as good warm-up matches ahead of the tournament, especially considering the second fixture comes against world champions Spain.
But first, England must once again face a Portugal side who they drew 1-1 with back in February, with Alessia Russo’s early goal only enough for a point in the end on that day.
The injured trio of Georgia Stanway, Lauren Hemp and Alex Greenwood have all returned to the squad after respective knee surgeries, and though Lauren James, Alessia Russo and Ella Toone miss out through injury, it is still a strong group that Sarina Wiegman has named in the last squad before deciding who is on the plane for Euro 2025.
And many players will use these two matches to fight for a place ahead of that squad announcement, with one warm-up match to come against Jamaica on 29 June before the tournament opener against France on 5 July.
England are ranked as 2/7 favourites with football betting sites, with Portugal priced at 13/2 and a draw at 9/2.
England have shown mixed results in this Nations League campaign, illustrated by a draw away to Portugal and a 3-2 loss to Belgium.
Nevertheless, a 1-0 win at home to Spain showed that the Lionesses are more than capable of competing with the world’s best. Overall, England have won four of their last seven and drawn two, including with Portugal and former world champions the USA.
Portugal have won three and drawn one of their last seven matches, though two of those came against South Korea and Czechia, and they lost heavily – 7-1 and 4-2 – away and home to world champions Spain.
Sarina Wiegman’s side will need to put in a convincing home performance if they are to convince fans that they could be a match for Spain in the upcoming European Championship, but with 12 goals in their last seven, they are expected to beat Portugal comfortably at Wembley.
But despite England being favourites, the last time Portugal failed to score in a match was in a 1-0 defeat to France in December 2023, with all six matches since then bringing at least one goal despite some heavy defeats.
A bet on England to win to nil is offered at 5/6, but a wager on the Lionesses to win but both teams to score could offer better value at 13/5 with various betting sites.
With Alessia Russo, Jess Park and Lauren James missing out on this international camp, Arsenal’s Champions League-winner Beth Mead could well be tasked with carrying the goalscoring burden for the Lionesses against Portugal.
Mead has 33 goals in 52 games at international level, and the 30-year-old has rediscovered some form despite a season in which she scored just seven goals for the Gunners in the WSL.
Mead scored a penalty in the last Lionesses match – a 3-2 loss to Belgium in April – and is offered at 1/1 to score anytime against Portugal – as is Aggie Beever-Jones – and we think a wager on the Arsenal forward to score could provide value tonight.
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