Orlando Pride vs San Diego Wave prediction: our NWSL betting tips | OneFootball

Orlando Pride host San Diego Wave on Friday night in the NWSL, with the match kicking off at 00:00 UTC on 3 October. It is a fixture our model has looked at closely, and the read it comes back with is an away lean: San Diego Wave are the side the numbers favour. The best live price for that pick is on the odds card below, updated right through to kickoff.

That is a striking call in Orlando, where the Pride have been one of the toughest home propositions in the league in recent seasons. Below we break down what the data says, what the model is leaning on, and where the value might sit.

Quick pick

San Diego Wave to win

@ 2.01

Confidence 45% Form LWWWWWLLWWDLWWLDLWLDWWLWWW

See the full pick & odds →

Orlando Pride vs San Diego Wave: what the data says

NWSLSat 3 Oct · 00:00

Orlando Pride v San Diego Wave

13.281xBet X4.101xBet 22.011xBet

Model pick

San Diego Wave to win

45%

Compare all bookmakers & markets →

Our feed has this one priced with the Wave as the model pick. The Pride, as hosts, are not heavy favourites here, which tells you the market expects a tight contest rather than a routine home win. The model agrees with that framing and tips the balance towards San Diego. Check the live odds strip for the current best price on each side before you act.

Form and season context

Recent form

Orlando Pride LDWDWLLWLLWWLWLLWLLLWLWDLW 47% 10–10

San Diego Wave LWWWWWLLWWDLWWLDLWLDWWLWWW 80% 9–4

Last 5 matches · last-5 points % · goals for–against

Both sides have lived very different 2026 campaigns, and the details are in the form card above. The wider league picture matters too: with the play-off places taking shape through October, this is the kind of game a side uses as a statement. The mini table below shows how the NWSL standings look coming into the weekend.

NWSL — table

#TeamPGDPtsForm

1 NJ/NY Gotham FC 26 +14 54 WWWLD

2 San Diego Wave 26 +11 48 WWWLW

3 Washington Spirit 26 +12 46 LWLWW

4 Utah Royals 26 +9 45 WLWLW

5 Portland Thorns 26 +8 43 DWDLD

6 Angel City 26 +16 42 WWWDW

Full table & odds →

Individual threats will decide it at the sharp end, so keep an eye on the league’s leading scorers.

NWSL — top scorers

1 A. SanchezNorth Carolina Courage 16 gls · 4 ast

2 B. BandaOrlando Pride 15 gls · 3 ast

3 T. ChawingaKansas City 11 gls · 3 ast

4 S. SmithPortland Thorns 11 gls · 4 ast

5 T. RodmanWashington Spirit 9 gls · 5 ast

Our model’s read

Our model has San Diego Wave winning this match. The lean is on the away side of the 1X2 market. We do not have the full probability breakdown published for this fixture yet, so we will not dress the pick up with numbers the model has not released. What we can say is that the lean is clear and consistent with the market picture: this is not a coin flip in the model’s eyes.

SheKicks verdict

San Diego Wave to win @ 2.01

Confidence 45% Suggested stake 5/10

Back this at a top sportsbook →

18+ · Please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org

Our prediction

Our pick is San Diego Wave to win. The rationale is simple: the model favours the Wave despite Orlando having home advantage, and a price around even money for a side the model rates as the likelier winner is where the interest lies. The live best price sits on the odds strip below; if it shortens as kickoff approaches, the value drains, so check the live card before you act.

Orlando Pride v San Diego Wave 13.28X4.1022.01 compare 7 books →

Our track record

Our tracked model tips have now settled 624 picks, with 316 winners and a 50.6% strike rate, returning a profit of 29.7 units for a 4.8% ROI. That is a record we are happy to publish in full, wins and losses both.

SheKicks model — verified tipping record

300Tips settled

157–143Win–loss

52%Strike rate

+4.8%ROI

+14.36Profit (units)

Recent:LWLWLWLLWWWW

Level stakes to the price advertised at time of tip. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. 18+

18+ · Please gamble responsibly

Betting should be fun, never a way to make money. Only stake what you can afford to lose, set deposit and time limits, and never chase losses. If gambling is affecting you or someone you know, free confidential help is available.

BeGambleAware.org GAMSTOP GamCare · 0808 8020 133