Premier League Saturday Tipsheet: Back Liverpool in a 9/1 acca | OneFootball

English Premier League Tips

Stinch is back with his best bets for the Premier League MD24 on Saturday

Odds compiler and football tipster Mark Stinchcombe shares his picks and insights for every Premier League matchday 24 fixture on Saturday...

Brighton v Everton Tip - Back the Toffees to get something

Brighton v EvertonSaturday, 15:00

I can't have Brighton here at 9/10. They have failed to win nine of their last 10 Premier League matches. With Everton three points higher than the Seagulls in the table, should the home side really be odds-on? Everton have a good recent record on the south coast too, having avoided defeat in their last five visits across all competitions. Seven of Everton's last eight league games have gone under 2.5 goals, which shows their resolute nature, and they boast the fifth best defence in the league.

Brighton, on the otherhand, have kept just six clean sheets in their last 35 Premier League matches. Obviously there is no Jack Grealish for Everton, but both Iliman Ndiaye and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall are back, while summer signing striker Thierno Barry seems to finally be adjusting to life in England with four goals in his last five games.

Leeds v Arsenal Tip - Back goals at Elland Road

Leeds v ArsenalSaturday, 15:00

Is this a wobble from Arsenal? No wins in their last three in the league and now only four points clear of both Manchester City and Aston Villa. For Leeds, it's just one defeat in 11 and I'm not sure it will be as easy as the 8/15 available on Arsenal suggests.

One thing that has been prevalent about the Gunners this season is goals, with 15 of their last 21 matches across all competitions seeing Over 2.5 goals (71%). Twelve of Leeds' last 19 have seen winners in this market (63%) and their defence can be got at after conceding two or more goals in nine of their last 18 league games. Seven of the last nine at Elland Road have seen three or more goals and Arsenal demonstrated their ability in the reverse fixture running out 5-0 winners.

Wolves v Bournemouth Tip - Away side love goals on the road

Wolves v BournemouthSaturday, 15:00

Bournemouth seem to be coping admirably without Antoine Semenyo so far, following the winger's £64M move to Manchester City. In the three games without him, they've drawn 3-3 at Newcastle and 1-1 at Brighton, before beating Liverpool 3-2 last weekend.

With Wolves having failed to win 26 of their last 27 Premier League matches, Bournemouth could be an enticing bet at 13/10. But instead I think the safest bet is to back goals again on a Cherries away day. Five of Bournemouth's last six games have seen Over 2.5 goals and a huge 24 of their last 30 Premier League matches have produced winners in this market (80%).

Chelsea v West Ham Tip - Back both teams to contribute

Chelsea v West HamSaturday, 17:30Live on Sky Sports

Is the great escape on for West Ham? Back-to-back wins has seen them move to within five points of Nottingham Forest and six of Leeds. The arrivals of strikers Valentin Castellanos and Pablo Felipe and a slight tweak in formation seem to have paid dividends with the Hammers scoring eight goals in their last five games. It means that seven of their last eight games have gone Over 2.5 goals, including all of the last five.

The last five meetings between these two have also seen three or more goals. For Chelsea under new boss Liam Rosenior, his tenure of six games has produced 23 goals (3.83 per-game) with just two clean sheets. Under Nuno Espirito Santo, 13 of his 19 games across all competitions have seen both teams score (68%). We can combine both angles here for a 3/4 shot.

Liverpool v Newcastle Tip - Back the Reds to repeat previous Toon success

Liverpool v NewcastleSaturday, 20:00Live on TNT Sports

Liverpool hit Qarabag for six on Wednesday night as they put in their best attacking performance of the season, having 38 shots, creating 10 big chances, resulting in 5.91 expected goals. For all of their Jekyll and Hyde performances this season, wins at Anfield have been fairly regular, winning 11 of 18 (61%). Newcastle, meanwhile, spent Wednesday night running around in Paris where they only had 33% possession and conceded 25 shots, resulting in 2.52 expected goals against. This could have an impact energy-wise, particularly with the quick three day turnaround.

Liverpool have an excellent recent record against Newcastle, having scored at least two goals in seven of their last eight meetings, leading to winning eight of the last 10 across all competitions. Away from home this season, Newcastle only rank as the 12th best team and only four teams have fewer wins than their two. Liverpool were only 4/11 in this fixture last season and, if Newcastle captain Bruno Guimaraes is once again only fit enough for the bench, it could be a long evening at Anfield.

Stinch's Acca - Back my best bets in a 4-fold at 9/1

Now read Mike Norman's Premier League MD24 preview

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