Supercomputer reveals Sporting's chances of winning the Portuguese league | OneFootball

Sporting go into the 2026/27 Liga as the Opta supercomputer’s main favorite, giving the Lions a 35.3% chance of winning the championship. Benfica are close behind with 32.8%, while Porto stand at 21.0% and Braga at 7.0%.

The predictions place the Alvalade club ahead of its main rivals. In total, these four teams account for 96.1% of the chances of finishing the season in first place, leaving just 3.9% for the remaining clubs in the competition.

To produce these projections, Opta’s model ran thousands of simulations of the Liga’s 306 matches, taking into account bookmakers’ odds and its own Power Ranking. Based on that data, the supercomputer calculates how often each team finishes in each position and establishes the most likely final standings.

The projection becomes even more interesting because it points to a change at the top of the table, with Sporting emerging as the most likely team to dethrone Porto. The Lions head into the new season after several changes to the squad.

Outside the title race, Opta’s predictions also paint a positive picture for newly promoted Marítimo and Académico de Viseu. In the most likely scenario drawn up by the supercomputer, both clubs manage to secure survival, while Famalicão appears as the main candidate for 5th place.

This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇵🇹 here.