Libertadores hopes: São Paulo face rival to boost chances | OneFootball

São Paulo's victory over Bahia, a direct rival in the quest for a spot in the Libertadores, gave the Morumbi team new hope to keep dreaming of qualifying for the main South American competition next year.

It is still quite difficult. Tricolor is in 9th position, with 41 points, six behind Botafogo, the team that opens the G6 of the Brasileirão. The top four teams secure a spot directly in the Libertadores group stage, while the 5th and 6th enter the pre-Libertadores stage.

According to numbers from the traditional Department of Mathematics at the Federal University of Minas Gerais (UFMG), São Paulo currently has only an 8.8% chance of finishing among the top six in the Brazilian Championship and securing its qualification for the tournament.

Besides the already mentioned Bahia and Botafogo, there are still the Rio teams Fluminense (7th) and Vasco (8th) ahead of Tricolor in the standings. But Tricolor's next match could change the situation.

Next Sunday (11/2), São Paulo will go to Rio de Janeiro to face Vasco, which has 42 points, just one more than Tricolor, but currently has an 18.3% chance of securing the spot, according to UFMG.

SOUTH AMERICAN AND RELEGATION

If qualifying for the Libertadores is complicated, São Paulo remains the team with the highest chances of securing a spot in the next edition of the South American, with 79.5%.

Fans, stay calm. The possibility of São Paulo being relegated to Serie B still exists, but it is practically nil. UFMG states that the team has a 0.19% chance of being relegated to the second division of the Brazilian Championship in 2026.

A next victory by Tricolor in the Brasileirão should already eliminate these numbers that are not concerning.

This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇧🇷 here.