Premier League Opta Stats: Best bets for Matchday 3 | OneFootball

English Premier League

Matchday 3 concludes at Villa Park on Sunday evening

Get the Opta stats and a tip for all 10 matchday 3 fixtures starting at Stamford Bridge on Saturday lunchtime, featuring Liverpool v Arsenal, and concluding at Villa Park on Sunday evening..

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Chelsea v Fulham: Back Pedro to strike again

Chelsea v FulhamSaturday 30 August, 12:30Live on TNT

The Opta Stat:

"Chelsea have lost just 8.3% of their Premier League games against Fulham (3/36), the joint-lowest loss rate one side has against another with a minimum of 20 meetings (Man Utd also 8.3% vs Aston Villa), although the Cottagers won this fixture 2-1 last season.

"João Pedro has been involved in six goals in his last four games in all competitions for Chelsea (4 goals, 2 assists), with four goals in four starts for the Blues."

The Betfair Bet: Back Chelsea and Pedro to score or assist @ 1/1

Man Utd v Burnley: Clarets can frustrate Amorim

Man Utd v BurnleySaturday 30 August, 15:00

The Opta Stat:

"Manchester United have lost eight of their last 13 home Premier League matches (W3 D2) - since the start of this run (7 December last year), no ever-present team has lost more Premier League matches on home soil (Spurs also lost eight).

"Of all teams to have visited Manchester United at least eight times in the Premier League, Burnley are one of three teams to have avoided defeat in more than half (P9 W1 D4 L4), along with Chelsea and Manchester City."

Sunderland v Brentford: Bees to sting Black Cats

Sunderland v BrentfordSaturday 30 August, 15:00

The Opta Stat:

"Brentford have won their last eight Premier League matches against newly promoted teams by an aggregate score of 28-6, with their last defeat to a promoted side coming in March 2024 away at Burnley."

Tottenham v Bournemouth: Back Richarlison in Spurs win

Tottenham v BournemouthSaturday 30 August, 15:00

The Opta Stat:

"Tottenham manager Thomas Frank has managed more Premier League games against Bournemouth without losing than against any other side (P6 W4 D2), while the only manager he's beaten more often than Andoni Iraola (3) is David Moyes (5).

"Richarlison has been involved in 16 goals across his last 21 Premier League starts for Tottenham Hotspur (13 goals, 3 assists), with two goals and an assist so far this campaign."

The Betfair Bet:

Wolves v Everton: Grealish to keep creating

Wolves v EvertonSaturday 30 August, 15:00

The Opta Stat:

"Jack Grealish assisted two goals in Everton's 2-0 win over Brighton on his first Premier League start for the club,equalling his total from the 2023-24 and 2024-25 seasons combined for Man City (2 in 40 games)."

Leeds v NewcastleSaturday 30 August, 17:30Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat:

"Newcastle United have lost three of their last four Premier League matches (D1), more than in their previous 11games (W8 D1 L2). The Magpies last had a longer winless run in September and October 2024 (five games).

"Leeds are unbeaten in their last 21 home league games (W18 D3), their joint best run under current manager Daniel Farke. Anton Stach has created seven chances in the Premier League so far this season, the most of any player. The Leeds midfielder has been directly involved 11 of their 24 shots, also having four shots (46%)."

The Betfair Bet: Back Leeds Double Chance and Stach to have 2+ shots @ 7/4

Brighton v Man City: Back Foden to score at Amex again

Brighton v Man CitySunday 31 August, 14:00Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat:

"Phil Foden has scored six goals in six away Premier League appearances against Brighton, with only Mohamed Salah scoring as often at the Amex as a visiting player (also six). Overall, his eight goals against the Seagulls are his most against an opponent in the competition."

Nottingham Forest v West Ham: Back

Nottingham Forest v West HamSunday 31 August, 14:00Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat:

"Nottingham Forest have won their last three Premier League matches against West Ham and the Hammers haven't scored in any of their last four Premier League visits to the City Ground (D1 L3).

"Nottingham Forest forward Chris Wood has scored eight Premier League goals against West Ham United, his joint most against one opponent."

The Betfair Bet:

Liverpool v Arsenal: Back the Gunners and goals

Liverpool v ArsenalSaturday 31 August, 16:30Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat:

"Liverpool are winless in six Premier League matches against Arsenal (D4 L2), their longest winless run against the Gunners since going eight without a win between October 2007 and April 2011.

"The last three Premier League games between Liverpool and Arsenal at Anfield have all been drawn, while the Gunners are winless in their last 12 away games against the Reds (D5 L7) since a 2-0 win back in September 2012, with manager Mikel Arteta starting for the Gunners that day.

"Only Liverpool vs Spurs (206) has seen more goals of all Premier League fixtures than Arsenal vs Liverpool."

The Betfair Bet:

Aston Villa v Crystal Palace: Back the draw and few goals

Aston Villa v Crystal PalaceSunday 31 August, 19:00Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat:

"Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last 19 home Premier League matches (W11 D8), the longest current unbeaten run on home soil of any side.

"Crystal Palace lost five of their first 10 away Premier League matches under Oliver Glasner (W2 D3) but have since lost just two of their last 16 on the road (W7 D7). Since the start of last November, the only ever present side to lose fewer away games is Arsenal (1).

"Aston Villa have now gone three consecutive Premier League matches without a goal for the first time since July2020, last going four in a row in March/April 2016."

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