Sporting tipped to win Liga Portugal, Porto set to lose out most | OneFootball

Sporting is considered the main favorite to win the Liga Portugal Betclic 2025/26. In this way, the lions surpass their biggest rivals, where the biggest loser ends up being Porto, which is seen as the fourth candidate to win the new edition of the championship.

According to a study by the CIES Football Observatory, the Alvalade Club has a 39.3% chance of winning its third consecutive championship and becoming a three-time champion for the first time in 71 years. Closing the podium of main candidates are Benfica, with a 24.5% probability, and Braga with 21.1%.

The most impressive data gathered and presented is the position of Porto. Despite the undefeated start of the blues and whites in Liga Portugal - which earned Francesco Farioli the award for best coach of the month -, they are pointed out as the fourth candidate to win the new edition of the championship, with only a 10% probability, even falling behind the Braga team.

The study was conducted based on 29 leagues and, according to the CIES, uses a model that "integrates sports variables (data related to the impact of passes in the opponent's field), economic variables (amounts invested in transfers for player acquisitions), and demographic variables (playing time of athletes in the last year and the competitive level of the matches they participated in)".

Regarding the five main European championships, the Football Observatory indicates Bayern Munich as the top candidate to win the Bundesliga, PSG in Ligue 1, Real Madrid in La Liga, Liverpool in the Premier League, and Inter Milan in Serie A.

This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇵🇹 here.