OneFootball
·6 ottobre 2025
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·6 ottobre 2025
The 27th round of the Brasileirão has ended, and the chances of each team have changed.
The Department of Mathematics at the Federal University of Minas Gerais, then, took care of doing this calculation.
In the list, there are the chances of winning the title, qualifying for the Libertadores, for the South American and also relegation.
So, is your team more likely to achieve this season's goal? Leave your comment!
1 - Palmeiras - 60.6%
2 - Flamengo - 31.5%
3 - Cruzeiro - 7.4%
4 - Bahia - 0.26%
5 - Mirassol - 0.16%
6 - Botafogo - 0.035%
7 - Fluminense - 0.033%
8 - São Paulo - 0.001%
1 - Palmeiras - 99.996
2 - Flamengo - 99.99
3 - Cruzeiro - 99.68
4 - Bahia - 82.4
5 - Mirassol - 73.2
6 - Botafogo - 58.5
7 - Fluminense - 39.6
8 - São Paulo - 18.7
9 - Bragantino - 9.1
10 - Ceará - 6.4
11 - Vasco da Gama - 3.4
12 - Corinthians - 2.9
13 - Internacional - 2.6
14 - Grêmio - 1.6
15 - Atlético-MG - 1.5
16 - Santos - 0.30
17 - Fortaleza - 0.020
18 - Juventude - 0.008
19 - Vitória - 0.004
1 - São Paulo - 70.4
2 - Bragantino - 69.8
3 - Ceará - 62.1
4 - Fluminense - 56.1
5 - Vasco da Gama - 52.4
6 - Corinthians - 51.9
7 - Internacional - 46.2
8 - Grêmio - 43.2
9 - Botafogo - 40.9
10 - Atlético-MG - 36.6
11 - Mirassol - 26.6
12 - Santos - 17.5
13 - Bahia - 17.4
14 - Fortaleza - 4.2
15 - Juventude - 2.1
16 - Vitória - 2.0
17 - Cruzeiro - 0.32
18 - Sport - 0.10
19 - Flamengo - 0.015
20 - Palmeiras - 0.004
1 - Sport - 97.3
2 - Juventude - 81.3
3 - Vitória - 77.6
4 - Fortaleza - 71.5
5 - Santos - 30.1
6 - Atlético-MG - 13.7
7 - Grêmio - 7.2
8 - Internacional - 7.0
9 - Corinthians - 5.7
10 - Vasco da Gama - 5.0
11 - Ceará - 2.3
12 - Bragantino - 1.1
13 - São Paulo - 0.26
14 - Fluminense - 0.053
15 - Botafogo - 0.001
This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇧🇷 here.
📸 Alexandre Schneider - 2025 Getty Images