Brighton v Liverpool: Go big with 10/1 lunchtime Bet Builder at the Amex | OneFootball

Paul Higham has a 10/1 Bet Builder for Brighton v Liverpool on Saturday

Paul Higham has dodged the match result for Liverpool's trip to Brighton, and instead has a 3/1 stats pick and a big 10/1 player props Bet Builder running for the early kick-off at the Amex...

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Click here for Brighton v Liverpool oddsSaturday 21 March, 12:30 kick-offLive on TNT Sports 1

Quick turnaround for Reds against well-rested Seagulls

From one of their worst displays of the season to one of their best, it's been a week of two halves for Liverpool but I'd suggest a Saturday lunchtime trip to Brighton is a tougher test than Galatasaray provided at Anfield on Wednesday.

As the Seagulls have won three of their last four and they were the better side in the other game when beaten by Arsenal, much to Fabian Hurzeler's annoyance at The Gunners' spoiling tactics in that one.

The hosts have also had plenty of rest in between games recently so 21/10 on a Brighton win could be a spot of value considering they've also beaten Liverpool in two of their past three visits to the Amex.

For all their good fotball though the cold, hard facts are just two home wins from nine for Brighton and after losing to Liverpool 2-0 in the league and 3-0 in the FA Cup the Reds are 5/4 favourites here with the suspicion that maybe this Brighton side just set up nicely for Arne Slot's men.

The big question for under-pressure Arne Slot is whether he can continue to get the same full-blooded, energetic performance out of Liverpool he got in the Champions League for the remainder of the season or whether they just flattered to deceive.

Liverpool certainly seemed more fluid in attack with the Wirtz-Ekitike-Salah trio up front and Dominik Szoboszlai just in behind running things in midfield - which is clearly his best position so Slot would be wise to keep him there and build his side around the talented Hungarian. He may be denied the chance to give them another run though with Salah an injury doubt for the game.

Mo Salah missing would be a blow for Liverpool given he's got more goals (10) and assists (7) against Brighton than anyone else in the league, and it'd bring the 13/5 on the draw closer into focus as there's not usually too many goals in Brighton games - nine of their last 11 in the league has gone under 2.5 goals.

Back 3/1 Bet Builder for best bet

If the same Liverpool turn up as Wednesday then they should win, but we've seen so little of that this season it's hard to trust them until we see some sustained form. So I'd avoid the match result here, picking the draw if pushed, and instead an OddsBoost on the Sportsbook caught my eye.

We're backing Liverpool most shots on target first - there's not much between the two sides in totals with Liverpool just ahead (135-131), but they've had 92 more shots on goal. The down side is obviouly their horrible conversion rate of 28.5% of shots hitting the target, which is by far the worst in the division.

However, in six of the last seven games they've averaged around 38%, which would lead the league, so they're improving and with similar volume they should beat Brighton as they have done in their two previous meetings this season.

And adding Brighton most fouls makes perfect sense even at home as Brighton have the second-most fouls in the division this season, and guess who has given away the fewest fouls in the Premier League this term? Yep, Liverpool. In a game we can't really pile in on the match result the stats bets are the way ahead.

Szoboszlai & Gomez star in 10/1 Bet Builder

If Salah plays you have to back him to be involved in a goal as he usually is against the Seagulls, but the man in serious form for Liverpool is Dominik Szoboszlai who was outstanding agains against Galatasaray.

Szoboszlai is 17/2 to score from outside the box, which he's done more than anyone in the league this season and is a good way to back him at the Amex, but we'll use him as a base for a Bet Builder to take advantage of the continuing Betfair Bet £10 Get £10 offer on multiples.

The Hungarian has been running the show, he's scored in his last two but in total has 13 goals and 12 assists this season and more importantly he seems hell bent on dragging Liverpool back to their best - he should be involved in a goal here at 6/4.

Florian Wirtz has had some decent displays of late and with seven shots on target in six games he's a decent 5/6 to work the keeper here, but the big ticket item is the 9/5 on Diego Gomez to have 3+ fouls.

Yes, it's a lofty target but one he's had no problem in hitting in four of his last five games (getting two fouls in the other) and in two games against Liverpool this season he's been booked twice and made five fouls. It's a toss up between the two but at home will give him the benefit of not seeing yellow but still giving away the fouls.