Milan vs Roma Betting Preview – Form & Predictions | OneFootball

Sunday’s mouth-watering Serie A showdown between familiar foes Milan and Roma has all the makings of an early-season Scudetto six-pointer. Only three points separate the sides ahead of the kick-off, with Roma sitting second in the standings, level on points with reigning champions Napoli.

Milan slumped to their third draw across their last four league outings when Atalanta held them to a 1-1 stalemate in midweek Serie A action. Despite taking an early lead through Samuele Ricci’s first-ever top-flight goal for the club, Massimiliano Allegri’s defensive-minded approach backfired on the Rossoneri.

In stark contrast to Milan’s lackluster run, Roma head into proceedings in a buoyant mood after beating Parma 2-1 on Wednesday en route to their second consecutive league victory. Gian Piero Gasperini’s men have won seven of their nine Serie A matches this season (L2), piecing together their best league start since the 2014/15 campaign.

Despite appearing in better shape, Roma enter this blockbuster fixture as betting outsiders, with many leading bookmakers viewing Milan as slim favorites to take all three points. For those seeking deeper football analysis and predictions, this clash promises to offer valuable insights into both teams’ Scudetto credentials.

Full-Time Result

Milan have gone unbeaten in eight consecutive games across all competitions (W5, D3) since an underwhelming 2-1 home loss to newly promoted Cremonese on the opening weekend of the season. Furthermore, Allegri’s men have rebuilt their home fortress, racking up four wins in their last five outings at San Siro (D1).

On the other hand, Roma’s dream start to the campaign has established them as Serie A’s best-performing side in 2025. Indeed, no team has picked up more points than the Giallorossi’s 70 this calendar year – at least eight more than all other top-flight clubs pre-round.

However, Roma had notoriously struggled in this fixture before beating Milan 3-1 in their last meeting. That triumph halted the visitors’ dreadful run of ten straight H2H clashes without winning (D4, L6), marking this first victory in this matchup since October 2019.

Though Roma’s unenviable H2H record doesn’t make for promising reading, their newfound defensive solidity under Gasperini leads us to back them in the double-chance market.

Over/Under

Allegri’s teams have never been known for excitement and high-scoring affairs. Little has changed this season, although the majority (55.56%) of their Serie A games produced over 2.5 goals (5/9). Moreover, Milan’s last four outings at San Siro have featured 3+ total goals, with three seeing both teams on the scoresheet.

Unlike his Rossoneri counterpart, Gasperini built his reputation on bold, attacking football. Unfathomably, the former Atalanta manager has failed to uphold his reputation in his early days at the Olimpico, with Roma emerging as one of the least exciting teams to watch in Serie A. For context, only two of their opening nine league matches have contained three or more goals.

Indeed, Gasperini has turned Roma into a rock-solid defensive unit, with the Giallorossi keeping the division’s joint-high five clean sheets, including three on their five competitive away fixtures. With that in mind, it’s reasonable to expect a tight contest, where clear-cut chances could come at a premium.