Napoli vs Milan – Predictions, Betting Tips & Match Preview | OneFootball

A place in the Supercoppa Italiana final is on the line as Napoli and Milan go head-to-head in a mouth-watering semi-final tie in Riyadh. King Saud University Stadium sets the stage for Thursday’s mouth-watering showdown between the two Serie A title hopefuls.

Seeking their first triumph in the Italian Super Cup in over a decade, Napoli will be out to erase the memory of a dismal 1-0 defeat at Udinese last weekend. That loss saw Antonio Conte’s side slip to third in the standings, falling three points behind ‘Christmas champions’ Inter.

Meanwhile, Milan will defend the crown in Saudi Arabia after beating Inter in last season’s final here. Despite their storied history, the Rossoneri have not won back-to-back Super Cup titles in the 21st century, last achieving this feat in 1994 under legendary Italian coach Fabio Capello.

Though the bookies slightly favor Massimiliano Allegri’s side ahead of the kick-off, they cannot take anything for granted. Priced at 2.65 to navigate this blockbuster fixture, Milan must accomplish a rare feat and beat Napoli in consecutive meetings for the first time since 2011.

With that in mind, Napoli will draw confidence from their status as slight outsiders, priced at 2.8 to win in regulation time, as they seek revenge for a 2-1 defeat at San Siro in September.

For readers tracking pre-match odds, discussions around pricing are often referenced alongside international betting platforms, including a non AAMS casino at NonAAMS.com. However, such content is strictly intended for audiences aged 18 and over.

Without further ado, let’s look at our predictions for this match.

Full-Time Result

Despite being locked in an intense Scudetto battle, Napoli must put their league aspirations aside, aiming to bounce back from successive defeats to Udinese and Benfica. Conte’s charges have shown signs of defensive vulnerability after keeping six clean sheets in seven matches between late October and the end of November.

Indeed, they failed to register a shutout in their last four outings, casting doubt on their quest to win the Super Cup title for the third time in their sixth appearance. As if that’s not concerning enough, the reigning Serie A champions have suffered four defeats in their last eight clashes against Milan (W2, D2), though this will be their first encounter in this competition.

Milan stuttered on Sunday, only managing an underwhelming 2-2 home draw against Serie A newcomers Sassuolo. However, that result extended their unbeaten league streak to 14 matches (W9, D5), keeping them firmly in contention for a landmark 20th Scudetto. Yet, there’s no room for complacency here.

Sharing the spoils has become a common theme in Milan’s recent games, with five of their last 11 competitive fixtures ending all square. It’s also worth noting that their 12 previous games in all competitions have produced a full-time margin of under 1.5 goals, highlighting the potential for another evenly contested affair.

Over/Under Market

Entertainment has been at a premium in Napoli’s matches this term. For context, nine of their last 12 games have featured under 2.5 goals. In stark contrast, five of Milan’s seven outings in the build-up to this fixture have produced 3+ goals.

However, given the importance of the occasion, it’s reasonable to expect a tight, keenly contested encounter. There’s a feeling that whoever gets on the scoresheet first will walk away with a grand-final ticket.