Vasco’s Brasileirão relegation risk plummets, see | OneFootball

The 5-0 thrashing of Coritiba changed Vasco’s situation in the fight against relegation. The result at São Januário secured Cruz-Maltino’s second straight win in the Brazilian Championship and lifted the team out of the relegation zone.

With 31 points, Vasco sit in 16th place, while Grêmio, the first club inside the bottom four, have 29. The gap is still small, but the Rio side head into the FIFA international break in a different situation from the one they faced before this round.

The improvement is also reflected in the projections. According to Infobola, by Tristão García, Vasco now have a 22% risk of playing in Série B in 2027. The calculation takes into account points, league position, remaining matches, and the teams’ performances.

Second straight win changes the outlook

Vasco were coming off a win over Ceará and confirmed their recovery against Coritiba. The scoreline at São Januário also ended the team’s run of 11 rounds inside the relegation zone.

The gap to the Brasileirão bottom four, however, does not allow the Rio club to treat the situation as resolved. There are ten rounds left until the end of the league, and Grêmio remain just two points behind in the standings.

The result was also helped by other matches in the round. Grêmio drew 0-0 with Palmeiras, while Internacional and Vitória lost their matches. That combination kept Vasco out of the relegation zone.

Risk is still high among rivals

Vasco have moved ahead of some rivals in the Infobola projection, but they still appear close to clubs fighting to stay up. Mirassol and Corinthians have 23% and 22% relegation risk respectively. Vitória stand at 14%.

Chapecoense and Remo carry the biggest risks, at 99% and 95% respectively. Internacional are at 66%, and Grêmio at 51%. Botafogo have 4%, while São Paulo, Red Bull Bragantino, Coritiba, and Santos are each at 1%.

Vasco will face a derby after the break

The FIFA international break interrupts Vasco’s schedule just after two consecutive wins. The team will return to action on October 7 against Botafogo at Nilton Santos Stadium in the 29th round of the Brazilian Championship.

Pedro Emanuel’s side are also still involved in two other competitions. Vasco are in the semifinals of the Copa do Brasil and the Copa Sudamericana, with Palmeiras and Boca Juniors as their respective opponents.

The thrashing of Coritiba therefore changed Vasco’s position in the table and reduced their projected risk of relegation. The gap to the bottom four, however, remains narrow, keeping the battle to stay up open in the final rounds.

This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇧🇷 here.